Swinney says Scottish independence referendum could be held in 2028

Scottish Independence Referendum Timeline Up for Discussion

First Minister John Swinney has proposed the possibility of a second independence referendum by 2028, during a BBC Scotland Debate Night event in Paisley Town Hall. The SNP leader emphasized that a constitutional vote could be held within two years, framing it as a viable option for Scotland’s future. This suggestion sparked a range of reactions from other political leaders.

Leaders Clash Over Sovereignty and Priorities

Ross Greer, co-leader of the Greens, argued that Scotland’s direction should be determined by its own citizens, stating that a majority of pro-independence MSPs in the next parliament would signal public support for a referendum. In contrast, Labour’s Anas Sarwar dismissed the idea, asserting that the upcoming election was focused on governance rather than independence. Meanwhile, Conservative chief Russell Findlay warned of the risks of UK dissolution, calling it a “disaster” for the nation.

“Scotland’s future must be in Scotland’s hands,” Greer declared.

“This election is not about independence—it’s about having a government that works for the people of this country,” Sarwar added.

Reform UK’s Malcolm Offord criticized another referendum as “divisive,” though he conceded it might be necessary if independence support surged to 60%. Alex Cole-Hamilton of the Liberal Democrats, however, stated he had not considered a second vote, prioritizing other challenges like the NHS and cost of living.

UK Approval and Political Challenges

Despite Swinney’s optimism, a second referendum would require agreement from the UK government. Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer expressed skepticism, claiming he cannot envision such a vote during his tenure. Earlier, Health Secretary Wes Streeting echoed this sentiment, telling LBC: “We’re not having one” and warning against “enough of chaos.”

“This country has had enough of chaos,” Streeting said.

Swinney urged voters to give the SNP a strong mandate, arguing that an SNP majority could resolve the “constitutional logjam” hindering Scotland’s self-determination. He also highlighted that the 2014 referendum’s success was built on such a foundation.

Immigration and National Issues

The debate extended to immigration, with leaders emphasizing its role in addressing Scotland’s challenges. Findlay criticized the SNP for focusing on independence over fixing local services, while Offord argued that immigration should be a priority to support communities and tackle a “skills crisis.”

“People in Glasgow are seeing a system at breaking point,” Findlay claimed.

“People want Holyrood to get on with the day job and improve people’s lives,” Offord stated.

Greer defended increased immigration, calling it essential for the NHS and rural areas. Cole-Hamilton, meanwhile, accused Offord of exploiting the issue to divide voters. The topic remains contentious, as Glasgow hosts over 3,800 asylum seekers—more than any other city except London.

Susan Aitken, Glasgow City Council leader, previously warned that temporary housing had reached its limit, underscoring the urgency of the immigration debate. As the Holyrood election campaign intensifies, the role of borders and migration continues to dominate political discourse.